I have now conducted my final statistical analysis where I look at the current (as of March 20, 2015 at 10am) standings and make a decision.
To do so, I will look at the stats for the teams currently and award points (3, 2 or 1) to the top 3 teams. In the end, the team that has the highest overall score will be my predicted winner.
Please note, this method may or may not be mathematically significant however, I believe that it is notable based on stats that I have read thus far.
Categories
Number of Wins:
Montreal, St. Louis, Anaheim (45) 3 (3 way tie)
New York Rangers (44) 2Nashville Predators (43) 1
Point Percentages:
New York Rangers (0.688) 3
St. Louis (0.676) 2
Anaheim and Montreal (0.674) 1 (2 way tie)
Goals For Per Game:
Tampa Bay (3.21) 3
Dallas (3.06) 2
New York Islanders (2.99) 1
Goals Against Per Game:
Montreal (2.17) 3
Chicago (2.21) 2
New York Rangers (2.23) 1
Goals For Percentage:
Nashville (58.0) 3
New York Rangers (57.3) 2
Tampa Bay (56.5) 1
Shots For Per Game:
Chicago (34.1) 3
New York Islanders (33.8) 2
Nashville (31.5) 1
Shots Against Per Game:
Los Angeles (26.9) 3
Minnesota (27.2) 2
Carolina, St. Louis (27.4) 1 (2 way tie)
Shots For Percentage:
New York Islanders (54.4) 3
Tampa Bay and Los Angeles (54.2) 2
St. Louis (53) 1
Outshooting Win Percentage:
St. Louis (0.682) 3
Nashville (0.675) 2
Chicago (0.659) 1
Outshot Win Percentage:
Anaheim (0.641) 3
New York Rangers (0.640) 2
Montreal (0.605) 1
Scoring First Win Percentage:
Washington (0.842) 3
Montreal (0.829) 2
New York Rangers 1
Corsi For Percentage:
Los Angeles (55) 3
Chicago (53.8) 2
Detroit (53.7) 1
Fenwick For Percentage:
New York Islanders and Los Angeles (54.5) 3
Tampa Bay (53.6) 2
St. Louis (53.2) 1
Save Percentage:
Montreal (93.9) 3
Nashville (93.48) 2
New Jersey (93.56) 1
And the winner is...
THE MONTREAL CANADIENS
With a close race between:
- Los Angeles Kings
- St. Louis Blues
- New York Rangers
I will update further with my EA Sports simulation.
Let's see how this season pans out!
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